My prediction here is that the Greens will probably fall *just* short of knocking Labor out of second place, because just too much has to go right for them with such a small margin of error for it to happen. The Port of Melbourne's commitments on pricing and consultation responds to the ESC's review of the port's compliance with the official pricing order, under which tariffs can only be increased once a year, and by no more than the consumer price index. However, the problem they might face in that redistribution scenario is that removing the Liberals best area (Caulfield) would almost certainly drop the Libs to third place and make it an ALP v Greens count where theyd probably have a 5% margin to make up rather than a ~200 vote margin to get into a LIB v GRN count. I think this is more important then people think. So it will be interesting to see what constructions they try to come up with. What I care about is the community of people. Education: Bachelor's degree in business administration in management and another bachelor's degree in business administration accounting and finance. Changes at outdoor shop: Harry Goode's Outdoor Shop gets new owners, interior rebuild after 76 years in Melbourne, Occupation:Assistant principal,Brevard Public Schools, Education:Bachelors degree in psychology and elementary education; master's degree in educational leadership, Political/government/civic experience:Elected to Melbourne City Council in November 2018; member of the Space Coast League of Cities board of directors; treasurer of the Space Coast League of Cities; appointed vice mayor in November 2021, Campaign email:reelectjsanders2022@gmail.com, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links:sanders4mlbcouncil.com; Facebook: Reelect Julie Sanders 2022;Instagram: Juliesanders2873. I've heard lots of folks' concerns to everything ranging from stormwater runoff in the lagoon to age-friendly inclusion in the newly developed downtown areas. The only seat that is in-doubt in my mind is Gilmore which is likely to go Liberal. Please note that ballot preparation procedures vary by state and between jurisdictions within states. While Macnamara is mentioned as a possible Green gain, the playing field from which the Greens might emerge as victors differs greatly from that in traditional Labor seats north of the Yarra. [3], Coordinates: .mw-parser-output .geo-default,.mw-parser-output .geo-dms,.mw-parser-output .geo-dec{display:inline}.mw-parser-output .geo-nondefault,.mw-parser-output .geo-multi-punct{display:none}.mw-parser-output .longitude,.mw-parser-output .latitude{white-space:nowrap}375122S 1445834E / 37.856S 144.976E / -37.856; 144.976, Electoral results for the Division of Melbourne Ports, "2016 Census QuickStats: Melbourne Ports", "Victoria gets new seat named after Malcolm Fraser, ACT gains one called Bean", "Profile of the electoral division of Macnamara (Vic)", Division of Melbourne Ports - Australian Electoral Commission, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Division_of_Melbourne_Ports&oldid=1092465625, Retired after Melbourne Ports was abolished in 2019, This page was last edited on 10 June 2022, at 13:16. Conceding and declaring victory is only a formality. Occupation: Full-time West Melbourne City Council member; previous mortgage underwriter for Chase Bank for nineyears; previous title agent for more than 20 years; previous finance manager for several auto dealerships. It includes vmost of the City of Melbourne north of the Yarra, almost all of the City of Yarra, and a small slice of Moreland Council. Port Melbourne Candidate jobs now available in Melbourne VIC. The event was moderated by Stephen Mayne. The Greens topped the primary vote in St Kilda, with the Liberal Party a distant third. ALP got 31.8% of the primary vote but 62.3% of the 2PP. If we consider that there was no minor right wing parties such as LDP and FFV running in 2018 state election there was actually a small increase in the right-wing vote. The only things saving Josh Burns here today are the cratering Liberal vote and, most importantly of all, the perfect little gerrymander with Higgins. Campaign Email: diana@dianaforcouncil.com, Campaign Facebook page: Facebook.com/DianaForWestMelbourne. However, its ridiculous to say that the Libs will come third if they dont improve, when they are currently first on the 3CP and all the current batches of votes are tracking to improve their lead. Hodgins-May is an environmental and social justice advocate, small business owner and St Kilda local. I dont agree, Pollbludger called this for Labor actually I just checked. But its certainly possible. Results 1983-2019. Fiscal responsibility: Ensure the citys strong finances by providing budgetary oversight and being fiscally conservative with taxpayer funds, especially with the recent rising costs. The video of the event is the third of the three videos below. My last 3CP calculation had the Greens 422 preferences ahead of Labour at the final 3CP count in Macnamara. Should move up to Glen Eira Road regardless of whether that border will be with Macnamara as it currently is, or Higgins. Michael Organ had previously won Cunningham for the Greens in 2002, but this was at a by-election. Holding served in the Hawke ministry from 1983 until the 1990 election, and served as a backbencher until his retirement in 1998. This service may include material from Agence France-Presse (AFP), APTN, Reuters, AAP, CNN and the BBC World Service which is copyright and cannot be reproduced. See ships at Port Phillip Heads: Arrivals - subtract 3.5 hours from ETA. We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. I thought this was Labours until I read ABCs Anthony Greens column in which he said he was going to call it for Labour, until the Labour candidate for Macnamara phoned him and said the Greens could still win it. i do agree that Georgia Drawbridge is a quasi teal and many of her preferences went to Teal. The Division of Melbourne Ports is located to the south of Melbourne's central business district. Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. This due to running a more centrist campaign including accepting climate targets, not running on African Gangs etc. William Bowe explains in his latest blog (from after yesterdays counting finished) that his results system is incorrectly calling it due to its inability to think in three-party terms. The last batch of postal votes broke 26.7% LIB, 28.5% ALP, 33.2% GRN, 11.6% Other. The retirement of long serving Labor MP Lindsay Tanner in 2010 produced a further switch in first preference support, the Greens finishing 1.9% short of Labor on first preferences and easily winning after being the recipient of 80% of Liberal preferences. This information is provided for illustrative purposes. Conservatives doing better on postals isnt always the case in progressive seats. Preferences from fourth & further candidates total 21.8%, but 14% is with right wing groups which favoured Liberals over Labour over Greens strongly in 2019. It might be close but hard to see. Eg. The electorate includes the suburbs of Port Melbourne, South Melbourne, Middle Park, South Yarra, St Kilda, Balaclava, Elwood and parts of Elsternwick and Caulfield. This month, council members are voting on Melbourne's proposed$242 million total city budget for 2022-23, among other topics. Impact on port:With Port Commissioner Hattaway running for Florida House, . A redistribution will see Josh ousted in 2025, but if they fight too hard to preserve the current borders then they might just end up losing both Macnamara *and* Higgins. I agree, PN. Its a nailbiter and is shaping up for all 3 to be over 33% in the 3PP count (would that be the closest 3PP count ever? You have entered an incorrect email address! Mathews held Melbourne Ports for a quarter of a century, retiring in 1931. Following its extension eastwards to Caulfield and other Liberal-voting areas in the 1990 redistribution, it became much less secure for Labor. Bandt was easily re-elected in 2016 and 2019 when Labor's vote slipped to third place behind the Liberal candidate. Schultz is an Elwood local and long been a passionate advocate for social and environmental change and is campaigning for change to agricultural practices, for both animal protection and to combat the effects of climate change. These two factors, along with the unknown that is the ~1000 Covid phone votes, will most likely determine the outcome but either way, the 3CP count is headed for a photo finish with all 3 parties practically guaranteed to be over 33% with only a couple of hundred votes between them. Sure, the 2CP run-off will be revealed upon the throw of all preferences. The electorate, formerly working class, was much more demographically diverse on its final boundaries, with rapidly accelerating inner-city gentrification and high-density housing developments in later years. Geography Inner south of Melbourne. Stephen Mayne will be the moderator. Frank Crean was Treasurer in the Whitlam government and is the father of former Labor Leader Simon Crean. Here is a rundown of the candidates, based on answers to questionnaires from FLORIDA TODAY. Visiting Station Pierpage. Labor 33.48% (31,149) 3. In most remaining vote types, the Liberals are currently outpacing Labor by between 1-3% in 3CP terms (despite Labor getting a higher primary vote), and the Greens are currently outpacing Labor by between 5-8%. A major activity centre like Glenhuntly Road shouldnt be a boundary because the traders on both sides of the road are a single community of interest. But the symbolism is incredibly important, with all the talk both before and after the election about the prospect of minority government and the low major party combined primary vote. Three candidates will be running for two available seats on the Melbourne Beach Town Commission in the Nov. 8 election. I am not saying the results will be repeated in 2025 for Josh Burns a Dutton led Liberal party will underperform the state Libs which moved back to the centre on climate. Tel: +61 3 8347 8300 The Division of Melbourne Ports was an Australian federal electoral division in the inner south-eastern suburbs of Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. Continue moving West Melbourne toward independence by building a potable water facility. After the exclusion of several minor party candidates with 7.3% between them, the three-candidate count had become Liberal 43.7%, Labor 28.7% to Greens 27.6%. In 2018, the Australian Electoral Commission proposed renaming Melbourne Ports as Macnamara, after medical scientist Dame Jean Macnamara. Melbourne Ports was won in 1906 by Labor candidates James Mathews. Labor need the remaining votes to actually break stronger for them compared to the Libs than they have, to get in front of them. Either way, the boost in Labor support at the expense of the Liberal Party in 2019 boosts Josh Burns' prospects of holding Macnamara in 2022 against both his political opponents. As you say FL, the main thing working against Steph HM here is actually just the complete obliteration of the Liberals most likely making this a Labor v Greens count. I only have the Greens beating Labor by about 50 votes which would be an automatic recount.. The retirement of Danby in 2019 had increased talk of the Greens winning the seat, but new Labor candidate Josh Burns increased his margin over the Greens and added 5% to the Labor two-party preferred margin. The West Finger Pier is a good vantage point to view the ships. It included Port Melbourne, but also included a number of middle and upper middle class suburbs such as Albert Park, Balaclava, Caulfield, Elwood, Middle Park, Ripponlea, South Melbourne and St Kilda. Greens actually finished 594 votes behind Labor in the 3PP count which is about 200-300 more than I expected based on the earlier preference throws which had it a lot closer. Support local journalism. The Greens could very easily gain this seat if Albanese turns out to be a disappointment and if the looming redistribution removes Caulfield and adds South Yarra and Prahran. Rob McCathie ( Liberal Democrats) Ben Schultz ( Animal Justice) Steph Hodgins-May ( Greens) Jane Hickey ( United Australia) Assessment Macnamara has been under threat from the Liberal Party in the past, but it's unlikely the Liberal Party could win in the current environment. Loses Windsor to neighbouring Higgins. First Preference Results 1983-2019, The Labor lean of Melbourne Ports/Macnamara has declined at recent elections, but as discussed above, the three-way nature of the contest means the after preferences count is the secondary hurdle Labor must clear to win. Political/government/civic experience: U.S. Coast Guard veteran; educator inradiologic technology; four Afghanistan deployments with the Department of Defense contractorRemote Medical International; Golf Club Estates Civic Associationboard of directors and treasurer, Campaign email:alison.dietrich@brevardhealth.org, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links: None listed. 0:36. Six candidates are vying for three seats on the Melbourne City Council on the Nov. 8 ballot, with hopes of helping guide governmental operations of one of the Space Coast's dominant economic communities. No way Labor comes 3rd. He grew up in Melbourne's western suburbs delivering newspapers to help his working-class family with a bit of extra income while he gained his accountant's diploma. Get breaking news alerts directly to your phone with our app, Adam Bandt Greens Leader retains safe seat. A more extensive change to the boundary between Macnamara and Higgins had originally been proposed but was abandoned when the final boundaries were released. Gallop is a Criminal Justice/Breaking News Reporter at FLORIDA TODAY. Incredibly close, basically meaning minor preference flows could eliminate any one of the 3, especially since 4 of the minors are right wing and Labor are likely to get the least minor preferences. But Melbourne differs from other electorates in two ways. In 2018, I pledged to work toward a healthy Indian River Lagoon. At the final 3CP count in Macnamara 3CP count in Macnamara the south of Melbourne Ports Macnamara... 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